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Uruguay · Primera Division

Liverpool Montevideo vs CA Progreso

Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo 1.66
VS
Sat, Oct 03
16:00 CET
draw
3.70
CA Progreso CA Progreso 4.70
Win Probability implied from market odds
55.5%
Liverpool Montevideo
1.66
24.9%
Draw
3.70
19.6%
CA Progreso
4.70

Liverpool Montevideo are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

CA Progreso (Away team) odds offer the highest possible win at 4.70 odds. If you bet $100 on CA Progreso you can win $$470.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Liverpool Montevideo (Home team) is the safest option with odds at 1.66. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $166.00.

Betting Prediction

Liverpool Montevideo vs CA Progreso Prediction & Betting Tips | Primera Division Soccer being played on Saturday, Oct 03 at 16:00

Liverpool Montevideo vs CA Progreso – Primera Division Match Prediction

Uruguay | Primera Division | Soccer

Ahead of this Primera Division fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for Liverpool Montevideo vs CA Progreso.

Outcome: Liverpool Montevideo Win | Probability: 55.5

Outcome: Draw | Probability: 24.9

Outcome: CA Progreso Win | Probability: 19.6

Who Is Favoured between Liverpool Montevideo vs CA Progreso?

Our model gives Liverpool Montevideo the edge in this Soccer match, with a 55.5 probability of claiming all three points. CA Progreso are rated as the underdog at 19.6, while there remains a 24.9 chance that neither side manages to separate themselves on the day.

In Soccer, a draw probability of 24.9 is considered {draw_label}. Despite Liverpool Montevideo holding the statistical advantage, this remains an open contest and the underdog should not be written off.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for Primera Division Soccer fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, defensive and attacking output metrics, injury and squad availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Liverpool Montevideo's 55.5 rating reflects an overall stronger statistical profile entering this match. That said, CA Progreso's 19.6 is far from negligible — competitive Primera Division fixtures rarely follow the script, and an upset remains very much on the table.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for Liverpool Montevideo vs CA Progreso: Liverpool Montevideo to win is the percentage-backed selection at 55.5. The draw at 24.9 may carry value if the odds on offer reflect a closer contest than the market expects. CA Progreso at 19.6 could represent an interesting underdog play depending on available odds.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary between Liverpool Montevideo vs CA Progreso

Match: Liverpool Montevideo vs CA Progreso

Sport: Soccer

Country: Uruguay

League: Primera Division

Favourite: Liverpool Montevideo (55.5)

Draw Chance: 24.9

Underdog: CA Progreso (19.6)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

1

1 1.66
X 3.70
2 4.70

10

11 2.08
10 1.22
9 1.14

11

1 1.24
2 3.55