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Uruguay · Primera Division

CA Cerro vs Montevideo Wanderers

CA Cerro CA Cerro 2.86
VS
Sun, Oct 04
21:00 CET
draw
3.05
Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 2.44
Win Probability implied from market odds
32.2%
CA Cerro
2.86
30.2%
Draw
3.05
37.7%
Montevideo Wanderers
2.44

Montevideo Wanderers are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Draw odds offer the highest possible win at 3.05 odds. If you bet $100 on Draw you can win $$305.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Montevideo Wanderers (Away team) is the safest option with odds at 2.44. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $244.00.

Betting Prediction

CA Cerro vs Montevideo Wanderers Prediction & Betting Tips | Primera Division Soccer

CA Cerro vs Montevideo Wanderers – Primera Division Match Prediction

Uruguay | Primera Division | Soccer

Ahead of this Primera Division fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for CA Cerro vs Montevideo Wanderers.

Outcome: CA Cerro Win | Probability: 32.2

Outcome: Draw | Probability: 30.2

Outcome: Montevideo Wanderers Win | Probability: 37.7

Who Is Favoured between CA Cerro vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Our model points to Montevideo Wanderers as the stronger side heading into this Soccer fixture, with a 37.7 probability of taking the win. CA Cerro are rated at 32.2 as the home side looking to cause an upset, while a 30.2 chance of a draw keeps the outcome genuinely open.

In Soccer, a draw probability of 30.2 is considered {draw_label} — suggesting this fixture has a reasonable chance of a decisive result, though neither outcome is guaranteed.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for Primera Division Soccer fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, defensive and attacking output metrics, injury and squad availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Montevideo Wanderers's 37.7 rating reflects an overall stronger statistical profile entering this match. However, CA Cerro's 32.2 probability is a genuine reflection of their ability to compete — upsets are a regular feature of Primera Division Soccer, and this match is no exception.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for CA Cerro vs Montevideo Wanderers: Montevideo Wanderers to win is the percentage-backed selection at 37.7. The draw at 30.2 may offer value in a match where both sides are capable of cancelling each other out. CA Cerro at 32.2 is the longshot play, but not one without merit depending on the available odds.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary

Match: CA Cerro vs Montevideo Wanderers

Sport: Soccer

Country: Uruguay

League: Primera Division

Favourite: Montevideo Wanderers (37.7)

Draw Chance: 30.2

Underdog: CA Cerro (32.2)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

1

1 2.86
X 3.05
2 2.44

10

11 1.35
10 1.32
9 1.48

11

2 1.72
1 1.97