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Spain · Primera Federacion

AD Alcorcon vs Gimnastic de Tarragona

AD Alcorcon AD Alcorcon 1.86
VS
Sun, Sep 20
12:00 CET
draw
3.25
Gimnastic de Tarragona Gimnastic de Tarragona 3.95
Win Probability implied from market odds
48.9%
AD Alcorcon
1.86
28%
Draw
3.25
23%
Gimnastic de Tarragona
3.95

AD Alcorcon are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Gimnastic de Tarragona (Away team) odds offer the highest possible win at 3.95 odds. If you bet $100 on Gimnastic de Tarragona you can win $$395.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on AD Alcorcon (Home team) is the safest option with odds at 1.86. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $186.00.

Betting Prediction

AD Alcorcon vs Gimnastic de Tarragona Prediction & Betting Tips | Primera Federacion Soccer being played on Sunday, Sep 20 at 12:00

AD Alcorcon vs Gimnastic de Tarragona – Primera Federacion Match Prediction

Spain | Primera Federacion | Soccer

Ahead of this Primera Federacion fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for AD Alcorcon vs Gimnastic de Tarragona.

Outcome: AD Alcorcon Win | Probability: 48.9

Outcome: Draw | Probability: 28.0

Outcome: Gimnastic de Tarragona Win | Probability: 23.0

Who Is Favoured between AD Alcorcon vs Gimnastic de Tarragona?

Our model gives AD Alcorcon the edge in this Soccer match, with a 48.9 probability of claiming all three points. Gimnastic de Tarragona are rated as the underdog at 23.0, while there remains a 28.0 chance that neither side manages to separate themselves on the day.

In Soccer, a draw probability of 28.0 is considered {draw_label}. Despite AD Alcorcon holding the statistical advantage, this remains an open contest and the underdog should not be written off.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for Primera Federacion Soccer fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, defensive and attacking output metrics, injury and squad availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. AD Alcorcon's 48.9 rating reflects an overall stronger statistical profile entering this match. That said, Gimnastic de Tarragona's 23.0 is far from negligible — competitive Primera Federacion fixtures rarely follow the script, and an upset remains very much on the table.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for AD Alcorcon vs Gimnastic de Tarragona: AD Alcorcon to win is the percentage-backed selection at 48.9. The draw at 28.0 may carry value if the odds on offer reflect a closer contest than the market expects. Gimnastic de Tarragona at 23.0 could represent an interesting underdog play depending on available odds.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary between AD Alcorcon vs Gimnastic de Tarragona

Match: AD Alcorcon vs Gimnastic de Tarragona

Sport: Soccer

Country: Spain

League: Primera Federacion

Favourite: AD Alcorcon (48.9)

Draw Chance: 28.0

Underdog: Gimnastic de Tarragona (23.0)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

1

1 1.86
X 3.25
2 3.95

10

11 1.78
10 1.27
9 1.18

11

1 1.36
2 2.76