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Spain · LaLiga

Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid

Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 4.30
VS
Sat, Oct 10
16:15 CET
draw
3.70
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1.78
Win Probability implied from market odds
21.8%
Deportivo Alaves
4.30
25.4%
Draw
3.70
52.8%
Atletico Madrid
1.78

Atletico Madrid are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Deportivo Alaves (Home team) odds offer the highest possible win at 4.30 odds. If you bet $100 on Deportivo Alaves you can win $$430.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Atletico Madrid (Away team) is the safest option with odds at 1.78. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $178.00.

Betting Prediction

Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips | LaLiga Soccer

Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid – LaLiga Match Prediction

Spain | LaLiga | Soccer

Ahead of this LaLiga fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid.

Outcome: Deportivo Alaves Win | Probability: 21.8

Outcome: Draw | Probability: 25.4

Outcome: Atletico Madrid Win | Probability: 52.8

Who Is Favoured between Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid?

Our model points to Atletico Madrid as the stronger side heading into this Soccer fixture, with a 52.8 probability of taking the win. Deportivo Alaves are rated at 21.8 as the home side looking to cause an upset, while a 25.4 chance of a draw keeps the outcome genuinely open.

In Soccer, a draw probability of 25.4 is considered {draw_label} — suggesting this fixture has a reasonable chance of a decisive result, though neither outcome is guaranteed.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for LaLiga Soccer fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, defensive and attacking output metrics, injury and squad availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Atletico Madrid's 52.8 rating reflects an overall stronger statistical profile entering this match. However, Deportivo Alaves's 21.8 probability is a genuine reflection of their ability to compete — upsets are a regular feature of LaLiga Soccer, and this match is no exception.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid: Atletico Madrid to win is the percentage-backed selection at 52.8. The draw at 25.4 may offer value in a match where both sides are capable of cancelling each other out. Deportivo Alaves at 21.8 is the longshot play, but not one without merit depending on the available odds.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary

Match: Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid

Sport: Soccer

Country: Spain

League: LaLiga

Favourite: Atletico Madrid (52.8)

Draw Chance: 25.4

Underdog: Deportivo Alaves (21.8)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

1

1 4.30
X 3.70
2 1.78

10

11 1.20
10 1.26
9 1.99

11

2 1.33
1 3.25