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Portugal · Primeira Liga

CD Tondela vs Moreirense FC

CD Tondela CD Tondela 1.92
VS
Mon, May 11
21:15 CET
draw
3.45
Moreirense FC Moreirense FC 3.75
Win Probability implied from market odds
48.3%
CD Tondela
1.92
26.9%
Draw
3.45
24.8%
Moreirense FC
3.75

CD Tondela are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Moreirense FC (Away team) odds offer the highest possible win at 3.75 odds. If you bet $100 on Moreirense FC you can win $$375.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on CD Tondela (Home team) is the safest option with odds at 1.92. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $192.00.

Betting Prediction

CD Tondela vs Moreirense FC Prediction & Betting Tips | Primeira Liga Soccer being played on Monday, May 11 at 21:15

CD Tondela vs Moreirense FC – Primeira Liga Match Prediction

Portugal | Primeira Liga | Soccer

Ahead of this Primeira Liga fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for CD Tondela vs Moreirense FC.

Outcome: CD Tondela Win | Probability: 48.3

Outcome: Draw | Probability: 26.9

Outcome: Moreirense FC Win | Probability: 24.8

Who Is Favoured between CD Tondela vs Moreirense FC?

Our model gives CD Tondela the edge in this Soccer match, with a 48.3 probability of claiming all three points. Moreirense FC are rated as the underdog at 24.8, while there remains a 26.9 chance that neither side manages to separate themselves on the day.

In Soccer, a draw probability of 26.9 is considered {draw_label}. Despite CD Tondela holding the statistical advantage, this remains an open contest and the underdog should not be written off.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for Primeira Liga Soccer fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, defensive and attacking output metrics, injury and squad availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. CD Tondela's 48.3 rating reflects an overall stronger statistical profile entering this match. That said, Moreirense FC's 24.8 is far from negligible — competitive Primeira Liga fixtures rarely follow the script, and an upset remains very much on the table.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for CD Tondela vs Moreirense FC: CD Tondela to win is the percentage-backed selection at 48.3. The draw at 26.9 may carry value if the odds on offer reflect a closer contest than the market expects. Moreirense FC at 24.8 could represent an interesting underdog play depending on available odds.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary between CD Tondela vs Moreirense FC

Match: CD Tondela vs Moreirense FC

Sport: Soccer

Country: Portugal

League: Primeira Liga

Favourite: CD Tondela (48.3)

Draw Chance: 26.9

Underdog: Moreirense FC (24.8)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

1

1 1.92
X 3.45
2 3.75

10

11 1.80
10 1.27
9 1.24

11

1 1.41
2 2.72