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Peru · Liga 1

Ucv Moquegua vs Asociacion Deportiva Tarma

Ucv Moquegua Ucv Moquegua 2.40
VS
Sat, May 09
20:00 CET
draw
3.00
Asociacion Deportiva Tarma Asociacion Deportiva Tarma 2.86
Win Probability implied from market odds
37.9%
Ucv Moquegua
2.40
30.3%
Draw
3.00
31.8%
Asociacion Deportiva Tarma
2.86

Ucv Moquegua are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Draw odds offer the highest possible win at 3.00 odds. If you bet $100 on Draw you can win $$300.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Ucv Moquegua (Home team) is the safest option with odds at 2.40. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $240.00.

Betting Prediction

Ucv Moquegua vs Asociacion Deportiva Tarma Prediction & Betting Tips | Liga 1 Soccer being played on Saturday, May 09 at 20:00

Ucv Moquegua vs Asociacion Deportiva Tarma – Liga 1 Match Prediction

Peru | Liga 1 | Soccer

Ahead of this Liga 1 fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for Ucv Moquegua vs Asociacion Deportiva Tarma.

Outcome: Ucv Moquegua Win | Probability: 37.9

Outcome: Draw | Probability: 30.3

Outcome: Asociacion Deportiva Tarma Win | Probability: 31.8

Who Is Favoured between Ucv Moquegua vs Asociacion Deportiva Tarma?

Our model gives Ucv Moquegua the edge in this Soccer match, with a 37.9 probability of claiming all three points. Asociacion Deportiva Tarma are rated as the underdog at 31.8, while there remains a 30.3 chance that neither side manages to separate themselves on the day.

In Soccer, a draw probability of 30.3 is considered {draw_label}. Despite Ucv Moquegua holding the statistical advantage, this remains an open contest and the underdog should not be written off.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for Liga 1 Soccer fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, defensive and attacking output metrics, injury and squad availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Ucv Moquegua's 37.9 rating reflects an overall stronger statistical profile entering this match. That said, Asociacion Deportiva Tarma's 31.8 is far from negligible — competitive Liga 1 fixtures rarely follow the script, and an upset remains very much on the table.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for Ucv Moquegua vs Asociacion Deportiva Tarma: Ucv Moquegua to win is the percentage-backed selection at 37.9. The draw at 30.3 may carry value if the odds on offer reflect a closer contest than the market expects. Asociacion Deportiva Tarma at 31.8 could represent an interesting underdog play depending on available odds.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary between Ucv Moquegua vs Asociacion Deportiva Tarma

Match: Ucv Moquegua vs Asociacion Deportiva Tarma

Sport: Soccer

Country: Peru

League: Liga 1

Favourite: Ucv Moquegua (37.9)

Draw Chance: 30.3

Underdog: Asociacion Deportiva Tarma (31.8)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

1

X 3.00
1 2.40
2 2.86

11

1 1.67
2 1.99