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Peru · Liga 1

Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes Unidos

Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 1.58
VS
Fri, Sep 18
22:00 CET
draw
3.85
Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 5.20
Win Probability implied from market odds
58.3%
Alianza Atletico
1.58
23.9%
Draw
3.85
17.7%
Comerciantes Unidos
5.20

Alianza Atletico are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Comerciantes Unidos (Away team) odds offer the highest possible win at 5.20 odds. If you bet $100 on Comerciantes Unidos you can win $$520.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Alianza Atletico (Home team) is the safest option with odds at 1.58. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $158.00.

Betting Prediction

Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes Unidos Prediction & Betting Tips | Liga 1 Soccer being played on Friday, Sep 18 at 22:00

Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes Unidos – Liga 1 Match Prediction

Peru | Liga 1 | Soccer

Ahead of this Liga 1 fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes Unidos.

Outcome: Alianza Atletico Win | Probability: 58.3

Outcome: Draw | Probability: 23.9

Outcome: Comerciantes Unidos Win | Probability: 17.7

Who Is Favoured between Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Our model gives Alianza Atletico the edge in this Soccer match, with a 58.3 probability of claiming all three points. Comerciantes Unidos are rated as the underdog at 17.7, while there remains a 23.9 chance that neither side manages to separate themselves on the day.

In Soccer, a draw probability of 23.9 is considered {draw_label}. Despite Alianza Atletico holding the statistical advantage, this remains an open contest and the underdog should not be written off.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for Liga 1 Soccer fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, defensive and attacking output metrics, injury and squad availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Alianza Atletico's 58.3 rating reflects an overall stronger statistical profile entering this match. That said, Comerciantes Unidos's 17.7 is far from negligible — competitive Liga 1 fixtures rarely follow the script, and an upset remains very much on the table.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes Unidos: Alianza Atletico to win is the percentage-backed selection at 58.3. The draw at 23.9 may carry value if the odds on offer reflect a closer contest than the market expects. Comerciantes Unidos at 17.7 could represent an interesting underdog play depending on available odds.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary between Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes Unidos

Match: Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes Unidos

Sport: Soccer

Country: Peru

League: Liga 1

Favourite: Alianza Atletico (58.3)

Draw Chance: 23.9

Underdog: Comerciantes Unidos (17.7)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

1

1 1.58
X 3.85
2 5.20

10

11 2.20
10 1.21
9 1.12

11

1 1.23
2 3.70