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Mexico · Liga TDP

Pavones ADMC vs Chapulineros de Oaxaca II

Pavones ADMC Pavones ADMC 3.40
VS
Sun, Oct 04
20:00 CET
draw
3.70
Chapulineros  de Oaxaca II Chapulineros de Oaxaca II 1.87
Win Probability implied from market odds
26.8%
Pavones ADMC
3.40
24.6%
Draw
3.70
48.7%
Chapulineros de Oaxaca II
1.87

Chapulineros de Oaxaca II are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Draw odds offer the highest possible win at 3.70 odds. If you bet $100 on Draw you can win $$370.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Chapulineros de Oaxaca II (Away team) is the safest option with odds at 1.87. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $187.00.

Betting Prediction

Pavones ADMC vs Chapulineros de Oaxaca II Prediction & Betting Tips | Liga TDP Soccer

Pavones ADMC vs Chapulineros de Oaxaca II – Liga TDP Match Prediction

Mexico | Liga TDP | Soccer

Ahead of this Liga TDP fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for Pavones ADMC vs Chapulineros de Oaxaca II.

Outcome: Pavones ADMC Win | Probability: 26.8

Outcome: Draw | Probability: 24.6

Outcome: Chapulineros de Oaxaca II Win | Probability: 48.7

Who Is Favoured between Pavones ADMC vs Chapulineros de Oaxaca II?

Our model points to Chapulineros de Oaxaca II as the stronger side heading into this Soccer fixture, with a 48.7 probability of taking the win. Pavones ADMC are rated at 26.8 as the home side looking to cause an upset, while a 24.6 chance of a draw keeps the outcome genuinely open.

In Soccer, a draw probability of 24.6 is considered {draw_label} — suggesting this fixture has a reasonable chance of a decisive result, though neither outcome is guaranteed.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for Liga TDP Soccer fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, defensive and attacking output metrics, injury and squad availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Chapulineros de Oaxaca II's 48.7 rating reflects an overall stronger statistical profile entering this match. However, Pavones ADMC's 26.8 probability is a genuine reflection of their ability to compete — upsets are a regular feature of Liga TDP Soccer, and this match is no exception.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for Pavones ADMC vs Chapulineros de Oaxaca II: Chapulineros de Oaxaca II to win is the percentage-backed selection at 48.7. The draw at 24.6 may offer value in a match where both sides are capable of cancelling each other out. Pavones ADMC at 26.8 is the longshot play, but not one without merit depending on the available odds.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary

Match: Pavones ADMC vs Chapulineros de Oaxaca II

Sport: Soccer

Country: Mexico

League: Liga TDP

Favourite: Chapulineros de Oaxaca II (48.7)

Draw Chance: 24.6

Underdog: Pavones ADMC (26.8)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

1

1 3.40
X 3.70
2 1.87

10

11 1.24
10 1.21
9 1.77