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International · UEFA Nations League A

Croatia vs England

Croatia Croatia 4.30
VS
Sat, Oct 03
18:00 CET
draw
3.90
England England 1.77
Win Probability implied from market odds
22.1%
Croatia
4.30
24.3%
Draw
3.90
53.6%
England
1.77

England are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Croatia (Home team) odds offer the highest possible win at 4.30 odds. If you bet $100 on Croatia you can win $$430.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on England (Away team) is the safest option with odds at 1.77. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $177.00.

Betting Prediction

Croatia vs England Prediction & Betting Tips | UEFA Nations League A Soccer

Croatia vs England – UEFA Nations League A Match Prediction

International | UEFA Nations League A | Soccer

Ahead of this UEFA Nations League A fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for Croatia vs England.

Outcome: Croatia Win | Probability: 22.1

Outcome: Draw | Probability: 24.3

Outcome: England Win | Probability: 53.6

Who Is Favoured between Croatia vs England?

Our model points to England as the stronger side heading into this Soccer fixture, with a 53.6 probability of taking the win. Croatia are rated at 22.1 as the home side looking to cause an upset, while a 24.3 chance of a draw keeps the outcome genuinely open.

In Soccer, a draw probability of 24.3 is considered {draw_label} — suggesting this fixture has a reasonable chance of a decisive result, though neither outcome is guaranteed.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for UEFA Nations League A Soccer fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, defensive and attacking output metrics, injury and squad availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. England's 53.6 rating reflects an overall stronger statistical profile entering this match. However, Croatia's 22.1 probability is a genuine reflection of their ability to compete — upsets are a regular feature of UEFA Nations League A Soccer, and this match is no exception.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for Croatia vs England: England to win is the percentage-backed selection at 53.6. The draw at 24.3 may offer value in a match where both sides are capable of cancelling each other out. Croatia at 22.1 is the longshot play, but not one without merit depending on the available odds.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary

Match: Croatia vs England

Sport: Soccer

Country: International

League: UEFA Nations League A

Favourite: England (53.6)

Draw Chance: 24.3

Underdog: Croatia (22.1)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

1

1 4.30
X 3.90
2 1.77

10

11 1.20
10 1.24
9 2.02

11

2 1.33
1 3.30