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International · UEFA Champions League

AS Roma vs Real Madrid

AS Roma AS Roma 3.60
VS
Wed, Oct 14
21:00 CET
draw
3.95
Real Madrid Real Madrid 1.87
Win Probability implied from market odds
26.1%
AS Roma
3.60
23.8%
Draw
3.95
50.2%
Real Madrid
1.87

Real Madrid are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Draw odds offer the highest possible win at 3.95 odds. If you bet $100 on Draw you can win $$395.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Real Madrid (Away team) is the safest option with odds at 1.87. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $187.00.

Betting Prediction

AS Roma vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips | UEFA Champions League Soccer

AS Roma vs Real Madrid – UEFA Champions League Match Prediction

International | UEFA Champions League | Soccer

Ahead of this UEFA Champions League fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for AS Roma vs Real Madrid.

Outcome: AS Roma Win | Probability: 26.1

Outcome: Draw | Probability: 23.8

Outcome: Real Madrid Win | Probability: 50.2

Who Is Favoured between AS Roma vs Real Madrid?

Our model points to Real Madrid as the stronger side heading into this Soccer fixture, with a 50.2 probability of taking the win. AS Roma are rated at 26.1 as the home side looking to cause an upset, while a 23.8 chance of a draw keeps the outcome genuinely open.

In Soccer, a draw probability of 23.8 is considered {draw_label} — suggesting this fixture has a reasonable chance of a decisive result, though neither outcome is guaranteed.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for UEFA Champions League Soccer fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, defensive and attacking output metrics, injury and squad availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Real Madrid's 50.2 rating reflects an overall stronger statistical profile entering this match. However, AS Roma's 26.1 probability is a genuine reflection of their ability to compete — upsets are a regular feature of UEFA Champions League Soccer, and this match is no exception.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for AS Roma vs Real Madrid: Real Madrid to win is the percentage-backed selection at 50.2. The draw at 23.8 may offer value in a match where both sides are capable of cancelling each other out. AS Roma at 26.1 is the longshot play, but not one without merit depending on the available odds.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary

Match: AS Roma vs Real Madrid

Sport: Soccer

Country: International

League: UEFA Champions League

Favourite: Real Madrid (50.2)

Draw Chance: 23.8

Underdog: AS Roma (26.1)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

1

1 3.60
X 3.95
2 1.87

10

11 1.26
10 1.22
9 1.86

11

2 1.44
1 2.70