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Germany · Bundesliga

RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli

RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1.30
VS
Sat, May 09
15:30 CET
draw
5.60
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 9.00
Win Probability implied from market odds
72.6%
RB Leipzig
1.30
16.9%
Draw
5.60
10.5%
FC St. Pauli
9.00

RB Leipzig are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

FC St. Pauli (Away team) odds offer the highest possible win at 9.00 odds. If you bet $100 on FC St. Pauli you can win $$900.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on RB Leipzig (Home team) is the safest option with odds at 1.30. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $130.00.

Betting Prediction

RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli Prediction & Betting Tips | Bundesliga Soccer being played on Saturday, May 09 at 15:30

RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli – Bundesliga Match Prediction

Germany | Bundesliga | Soccer

Ahead of this Bundesliga fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli.

Outcome: RB Leipzig Win | Probability: 72.6

Outcome: Draw | Probability: 16.9

Outcome: FC St. Pauli Win | Probability: 10.5

Who Is Favoured between RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli?

Our model gives RB Leipzig the edge in this Soccer match, with a 72.6 probability of claiming all three points. FC St. Pauli are rated as the underdog at 10.5, while there remains a 16.9 chance that neither side manages to separate themselves on the day.

In Soccer, a draw probability of 16.9 is considered {draw_label}. Despite RB Leipzig holding the statistical advantage, this remains an open contest and the underdog should not be written off.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for Bundesliga Soccer fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, defensive and attacking output metrics, injury and squad availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. RB Leipzig's 72.6 rating reflects an overall stronger statistical profile entering this match. That said, FC St. Pauli's 10.5 is far from negligible — competitive Bundesliga fixtures rarely follow the script, and an upset remains very much on the table.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli: RB Leipzig to win is the percentage-backed selection at 72.6. The draw at 16.9 may carry value if the odds on offer reflect a closer contest than the market expects. FC St. Pauli at 10.5 could represent an interesting underdog play depending on available odds.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary between RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli

Match: RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli

Sport: Soccer

Country: Germany

League: Bundesliga

Favourite: RB Leipzig (72.6)

Draw Chance: 16.9

Underdog: FC St. Pauli (10.5)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

11

1 1.09
2 6.80

1

1 1.30
X 5.60
2 9.00

10

11 3.40
10 1.13
9 1.05