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France · Ligue 3

Thionville US Lusitanos vs La Roche Vendee Football

Thionville US Lusitanos Thionville US Lusitanos 2.62
VS
Sat, Sep 26
20:45 CET
draw
3.20
La Roche Vendee Football La Roche Vendee Football 2.52
Win Probability implied from market odds
35%
Thionville US Lusitanos
2.62
28.6%
Draw
3.20
36.4%
La Roche Vendee Football
2.52

La Roche Vendee Football are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Draw odds offer the highest possible win at 3.20 odds. If you bet $100 on Draw you can win $$320.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on La Roche Vendee Football (Away team) is the safest option with odds at 2.52. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $252.00.

Betting Prediction

Thionville US Lusitanos vs La Roche Vendee Football Prediction & Betting Tips | Ligue 3 Soccer

Thionville US Lusitanos vs La Roche Vendee Football – Ligue 3 Match Prediction

France | Ligue 3 | Soccer

Ahead of this Ligue 3 fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for Thionville US Lusitanos vs La Roche Vendee Football.

Outcome: Thionville US Lusitanos Win | Probability: 35.0

Outcome: Draw | Probability: 28.6

Outcome: La Roche Vendee Football Win | Probability: 36.4

Who Is Favoured between Thionville US Lusitanos vs La Roche Vendee Football?

Our model points to La Roche Vendee Football as the stronger side heading into this Soccer fixture, with a 36.4 probability of taking the win. Thionville US Lusitanos are rated at 35.0 as the home side looking to cause an upset, while a 28.6 chance of a draw keeps the outcome genuinely open.

In Soccer, a draw probability of 28.6 is considered {draw_label} — suggesting this fixture has a reasonable chance of a decisive result, though neither outcome is guaranteed.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for Ligue 3 Soccer fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, defensive and attacking output metrics, injury and squad availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. La Roche Vendee Football's 36.4 rating reflects an overall stronger statistical profile entering this match. However, Thionville US Lusitanos's 35.0 probability is a genuine reflection of their ability to compete — upsets are a regular feature of Ligue 3 Soccer, and this match is no exception.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for Thionville US Lusitanos vs La Roche Vendee Football: La Roche Vendee Football to win is the percentage-backed selection at 36.4. The draw at 28.6 may offer value in a match where both sides are capable of cancelling each other out. Thionville US Lusitanos at 35.0 is the longshot play, but not one without merit depending on the available odds.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary

Match: Thionville US Lusitanos vs La Roche Vendee Football

Sport: Soccer

Country: France

League: Ligue 3

Favourite: La Roche Vendee Football (36.4)

Draw Chance: 28.6

Underdog: Thionville US Lusitanos (35.0)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

1

1 2.62
X 3.20
2 2.52

10

11 1.42
10 1.29
9 1.45

11

2 1.80
1 1.88