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England · U21 Premier League 2

Burnley FC vs Derby County

Burnley FC Burnley FC 2.14
VS
Fri, Sep 18
20:00 CET
draw
3.55
Derby County Derby County 2.86
Win Probability implied from market odds
42.5%
Burnley FC
2.14
25.6%
Draw
3.55
31.8%
Derby County
2.86

Burnley FC are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Draw odds offer the highest possible win at 3.55 odds. If you bet $100 on Draw you can win $$355.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Burnley FC (Home team) is the safest option with odds at 2.14. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $214.00.

Betting Prediction

Burnley FC vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips | U21 Premier League 2 Soccer being played on Friday, Sep 18 at 20:00

Burnley FC vs Derby County – U21 Premier League 2 Match Prediction

England | U21 Premier League 2 | Soccer

Ahead of this U21 Premier League 2 fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for Burnley FC vs Derby County.

Outcome: Burnley FC Win | Probability: 42.5

Outcome: Draw | Probability: 25.6

Outcome: Derby County Win | Probability: 31.8

Who Is Favoured between Burnley FC vs Derby County?

Our model gives Burnley FC the edge in this Soccer match, with a 42.5 probability of claiming all three points. Derby County are rated as the underdog at 31.8, while there remains a 25.6 chance that neither side manages to separate themselves on the day.

In Soccer, a draw probability of 25.6 is considered {draw_label}. Despite Burnley FC holding the statistical advantage, this remains an open contest and the underdog should not be written off.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for U21 Premier League 2 Soccer fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, defensive and attacking output metrics, injury and squad availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Burnley FC's 42.5 rating reflects an overall stronger statistical profile entering this match. That said, Derby County's 31.8 is far from negligible — competitive U21 Premier League 2 fixtures rarely follow the script, and an upset remains very much on the table.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for Burnley FC vs Derby County: Burnley FC to win is the percentage-backed selection at 42.5. The draw at 25.6 may carry value if the odds on offer reflect a closer contest than the market expects. Derby County at 31.8 could represent an interesting underdog play depending on available odds.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary between Burnley FC vs Derby County

Match: Burnley FC vs Derby County

Sport: Soccer

Country: England

League: U21 Premier League 2

Favourite: Burnley FC (42.5)

Draw Chance: 25.6

Underdog: Derby County (31.8)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

1

X 3.55
2 2.86
1 2.14

11

1 1.58
2 2.16

10

10 1.25
11 1.63
9 1.37