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England · Premier League

Aston Villa FC vs Liverpool FC

Aston Villa FC Aston Villa FC 3.55
VS
Fri, May 15
21:00 CET
draw
4.10
Liverpool FC Liverpool FC 1.85
Win Probability implied from market odds
26.4%
Aston Villa FC
3.55
22.9%
Draw
4.10
50.7%
Liverpool FC
1.85

Liverpool FC are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Draw odds offer the highest possible win at 4.10 odds. If you bet $100 on Draw you can win $$410.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Liverpool FC (Away team) is the safest option with odds at 1.85. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $185.00.

Betting Prediction

Aston Villa FC vs Liverpool FC Prediction & Betting Tips | Premier League Soccer

Aston Villa FC vs Liverpool FC – Premier League Match Prediction

England | Premier League | Soccer

Ahead of this Premier League fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for Aston Villa FC vs Liverpool FC.

Outcome: Aston Villa FC Win | Probability: 26.4

Outcome: Draw | Probability: 22.9

Outcome: Liverpool FC Win | Probability: 50.7

Who Is Favoured between Aston Villa FC vs Liverpool FC?

Our model points to Liverpool FC as the stronger side heading into this Soccer fixture, with a 50.7 probability of taking the win. Aston Villa FC are rated at 26.4 as the home side looking to cause an upset, while a 22.9 chance of a draw keeps the outcome genuinely open.

In Soccer, a draw probability of 22.9 is considered {draw_label} — suggesting this fixture has a reasonable chance of a decisive result, though neither outcome is guaranteed.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for Premier League Soccer fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, defensive and attacking output metrics, injury and squad availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Liverpool FC's 50.7 rating reflects an overall stronger statistical profile entering this match. However, Aston Villa FC's 26.4 probability is a genuine reflection of their ability to compete — upsets are a regular feature of Premier League Soccer, and this match is no exception.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for Aston Villa FC vs Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC to win is the percentage-backed selection at 50.7. The draw at 22.9 may offer value in a match where both sides are capable of cancelling each other out. Aston Villa FC at 26.4 is the longshot play, but not one without merit depending on the available odds.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary

Match: Aston Villa FC vs Liverpool FC

Sport: Soccer

Country: England

League: Premier League

Favourite: Liverpool FC (50.7)

Draw Chance: 22.9

Underdog: Aston Villa FC (26.4)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

1

1 3.55
X 4.10
2 1.85

10

11 1.26
10 1.20
9 1.87

11

2 1.43
1 2.66