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Swindon Town vs Newport County

Swindon Town Swindon Town 1.87
VS
Tue, Sep 22
20:00 CET
draw
3.55
Newport County Newport County 3.55
Win Probability implied from market odds
48.7%
Swindon Town
1.87
25.7%
Draw
3.55
25.7%
Newport County
3.55

Swindon Town are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Draw odds offer the highest possible win at 3.55 odds. If you bet $100 on Draw you can win $$355.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Swindon Town (Home team) is the safest option with odds at 1.87. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $187.00.

Betting Prediction

Swindon Town vs Newport County Prediction & Betting Tips | EFL Trophy Soccer being played on Tuesday, Sep 22 at 20:00

Swindon Town vs Newport County – EFL Trophy Match Prediction

England | EFL Trophy | Soccer

Ahead of this EFL Trophy fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for Swindon Town vs Newport County.

Outcome: Swindon Town Win | Probability: 48.7

Outcome: Draw | Probability: 25.7

Outcome: Newport County Win | Probability: 25.7

Who Is Favoured between Swindon Town vs Newport County?

Our model gives Swindon Town the edge in this Soccer match, with a 48.7 probability of claiming all three points. Newport County are rated as the underdog at 25.7, while there remains a 25.7 chance that neither side manages to separate themselves on the day.

In Soccer, a draw probability of 25.7 is considered {draw_label}. Despite Swindon Town holding the statistical advantage, this remains an open contest and the underdog should not be written off.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for EFL Trophy Soccer fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, defensive and attacking output metrics, injury and squad availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Swindon Town's 48.7 rating reflects an overall stronger statistical profile entering this match. That said, Newport County's 25.7 is far from negligible — competitive EFL Trophy fixtures rarely follow the script, and an upset remains very much on the table.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for Swindon Town vs Newport County: Swindon Town to win is the percentage-backed selection at 48.7. The draw at 25.7 may carry value if the odds on offer reflect a closer contest than the market expects. Newport County at 25.7 could represent an interesting underdog play depending on available odds.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary between Swindon Town vs Newport County

Match: Swindon Town vs Newport County

Sport: Soccer

Country: England

League: EFL Trophy

Favourite: Swindon Town (48.7)

Draw Chance: 25.7

Underdog: Newport County (25.7)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

1

1 1.87
X 3.55
2 3.55

10

11 1.77
10 1.22
9 1.23

11

1 1.38
2 2.66