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UFC · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Costa

Bukauskas, Modestas vs Bellato, Rodolfo

Bukauskas, Modestas Bukauskas, Modestas 1.75
VS
Sun, May 17
02:00 CET
Bellato, Rodolfo Bellato, Rodolfo 2.00
Win Probability implied from market odds
53.3%
Bukauskas, Modestas
1.75
46.7%
Bellato, Rodolfo
2.00

Bukauskas, Modestas are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Bellato, Rodolfo (Away team) odds offer the highest possible win at 2.00 odds. If you bet $100 on Bellato, Rodolfo you can win $$200.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Bukauskas, Modestas (Home team) is the safest option with odds at 1.75. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $175.00.

Betting Prediction

Bukauskas, Modestas vs Bellato, Rodolfo Prediction & Betting Tips | UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Costa Mixed Martial Arts

Bukauskas, Modestas vs Bellato, Rodolfo – UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Costa Match Prediction

UFC | UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Costa | Mixed Martial Arts

Ahead of this UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Costa fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for Bukauskas, Modestas vs Bellato, Rodolfo.

Outcome: Bukauskas, Modestas Win | Probability: 53.3

Outcome: Bellato, Rodolfo Win | Probability: 46.7

In this format there is no draw — one side will win.

Who Is Favoured between Bukauskas, Modestas vs Bellato, Rodolfo?

Our model gives Bukauskas, Modestas the clear edge in this Mixed Martial Arts matchup, with a 53.3 probability of victory. Bellato, Rodolfo come in at 46.7 — a genuine chance, and one that reflects a competitive fixture even if the numbers favour their opponents.

With no draw possible in this format, the gap between these two sides is brought into sharper focus. Bukauskas, Modestas's 53.3 rating represents a meaningful but not overwhelming advantage — this is not a foregone conclusion.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Costa Mixed Martial Arts fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, offensive and defensive output metrics, player and roster availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Bukauskas, Modestas's 53.3 reflects an overall stronger statistical profile heading into this matchup. However, with Bellato, Rodolfo at 46.7, the gap is narrow enough to make an upset entirely plausible.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for Bukauskas, Modestas vs Bellato, Rodolfo: Bukauskas, Modestas to win is the percentage-backed selection at 53.3 and represents the straightforward model play. Bellato, Rodolfo at 46.7 offers potential value as the underdog, particularly if the odds available overstate the gap between the two sides.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary

Match: Bukauskas, Modestas vs Bellato, Rodolfo

Sport: Mixed Martial Arts

Country: UFC

League: UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Costa

Favourite: Bukauskas, Modestas (53.3)

Underdog: Bellato, Rodolfo (46.7)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

186

1 1.75
2 2.00