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UFC · UFC 328: Chimaev vs Strickland

Sabatini, Pat vs Gomis, William

Sabatini, Pat Sabatini, Pat 1.45
VS
Sat, May 09
23:40 CET
Gomis, William Gomis, William 2.60
Win Probability implied from market odds
64.2%
Sabatini, Pat
1.45
35.8%
Gomis, William
2.60

Sabatini, Pat are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Gomis, William (Away team) odds offer the highest possible win at 2.60 odds. If you bet $100 on Gomis, William you can win $$260.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Sabatini, Pat (Home team) is the safest option with odds at 1.45. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $145.00.

Betting Prediction

Sabatini, Pat vs Gomis, William Prediction & Betting Tips | UFC 328: Chimaev vs Strickland Mixed Martial Arts

Sabatini, Pat vs Gomis, William – UFC 328: Chimaev vs Strickland Match Prediction

UFC | UFC 328: Chimaev vs Strickland | Mixed Martial Arts

Ahead of this UFC 328: Chimaev vs Strickland fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for Sabatini, Pat vs Gomis, William.

Outcome: Sabatini, Pat Win | Probability: 64.2

Outcome: Gomis, William Win | Probability: 35.8

In this format there is no draw — one side will win.

Who Is Favoured between Sabatini, Pat vs Gomis, William?

Our model gives Sabatini, Pat the clear edge in this Mixed Martial Arts matchup, with a 64.2 probability of victory. Gomis, William come in at 35.8 — a genuine chance, and one that reflects a competitive fixture even if the numbers favour their opponents.

With no draw possible in this format, the gap between these two sides is brought into sharper focus. Sabatini, Pat's 64.2 rating represents a meaningful but not overwhelming advantage — this is not a foregone conclusion.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for UFC 328: Chimaev vs Strickland Mixed Martial Arts fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, offensive and defensive output metrics, player and roster availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Sabatini, Pat's 64.2 reflects an overall stronger statistical profile heading into this matchup. However, with Gomis, William at 35.8, the gap is narrow enough to make an upset entirely plausible.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for Sabatini, Pat vs Gomis, William: Sabatini, Pat to win is the percentage-backed selection at 64.2 and represents the straightforward model play. Gomis, William at 35.8 offers potential value as the underdog, particularly if the odds available overstate the gap between the two sides.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary

Match: Sabatini, Pat vs Gomis, William

Sport: Mixed Martial Arts

Country: UFC

League: UFC 328: Chimaev vs Strickland

Favourite: Sabatini, Pat (64.2)

Underdog: Gomis, William (35.8)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

186

1 1.45
2 2.60

1

1 1.47
X 50.00
2 2.65