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MVP · Rousey vs Carano

Mgoyan, David vs Morales, Albert

Mgoyan, David Mgoyan, David 1.18
VS
Sun, May 17
02:00 CET
Morales, Albert Morales, Albert 4.40
Win Probability implied from market odds
78.9%
Mgoyan, David
1.18
21.1%
Morales, Albert
4.40

Mgoyan, David are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Morales, Albert (Away team) odds offer the highest possible win at 4.40 odds. If you bet $100 on Morales, Albert you can win $$440.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Mgoyan, David (Home team) is the safest option with odds at 1.18. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $118.00.

Betting Prediction

Mgoyan, David vs Morales, Albert Prediction & Betting Tips | Rousey vs Carano Mixed Martial Arts

Mgoyan, David vs Morales, Albert – Rousey vs Carano Match Prediction

MVP | Rousey vs Carano | Mixed Martial Arts

Ahead of this Rousey vs Carano fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for Mgoyan, David vs Morales, Albert.

Outcome: Mgoyan, David Win | Probability: 78.9

Outcome: Morales, Albert Win | Probability: 21.1

In this format there is no draw — one side will win.

Who Is Favoured between Mgoyan, David vs Morales, Albert?

Our model gives Mgoyan, David the clear edge in this Mixed Martial Arts matchup, with a 78.9 probability of victory. Morales, Albert come in at 21.1 — a genuine chance, and one that reflects a competitive fixture even if the numbers favour their opponents.

With no draw possible in this format, the gap between these two sides is brought into sharper focus. Mgoyan, David's 78.9 rating represents a meaningful but not overwhelming advantage — this is not a foregone conclusion.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for Rousey vs Carano Mixed Martial Arts fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, offensive and defensive output metrics, player and roster availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Mgoyan, David's 78.9 reflects an overall stronger statistical profile heading into this matchup. However, with Morales, Albert at 21.1, the gap is narrow enough to make an upset entirely plausible.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for Mgoyan, David vs Morales, Albert: Mgoyan, David to win is the percentage-backed selection at 78.9 and represents the straightforward model play. Morales, Albert at 21.1 offers potential value as the underdog, particularly if the odds available overstate the gap between the two sides.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary

Match: Mgoyan, David vs Morales, Albert

Sport: Mixed Martial Arts

Country: MVP

League: Rousey vs Carano

Favourite: Mgoyan, David (78.9)

Underdog: Morales, Albert (21.1)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

186

1 1.18
2 4.40