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Haratyk, Rafal vs Lesko, Bartosz

Haratyk, Rafal Haratyk, Rafal 1.56
VS
Sat, Jul 18
22:00 CET
Lesko, Bartosz Lesko, Bartosz 2.28
Win Probability implied from market odds
59.4%
Haratyk, Rafal
1.56
40.6%
Lesko, Bartosz
2.28

Haratyk, Rafal are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Lesko, Bartosz (Away team) odds offer the highest possible win at 2.28 odds. If you bet $100 on Lesko, Bartosz you can win $$228.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Haratyk, Rafal (Home team) is the safest option with odds at 1.56. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $156.00.

Betting Prediction

Haratyk, Rafal vs Lesko, Bartosz Prediction & Betting Tips | KSW 120 Mixed Martial Arts

Haratyk, Rafal vs Lesko, Bartosz – KSW 120 Match Prediction

KSW | KSW 120 | Mixed Martial Arts

Ahead of this KSW 120 fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for Haratyk, Rafal vs Lesko, Bartosz.

Outcome: Haratyk, Rafal Win | Probability: 59.4

Outcome: Lesko, Bartosz Win | Probability: 40.6

In this format there is no draw — one side will win.

Who Is Favoured between Haratyk, Rafal vs Lesko, Bartosz?

Our model gives Haratyk, Rafal the clear edge in this Mixed Martial Arts matchup, with a 59.4 probability of victory. Lesko, Bartosz come in at 40.6 — a genuine chance, and one that reflects a competitive fixture even if the numbers favour their opponents.

With no draw possible in this format, the gap between these two sides is brought into sharper focus. Haratyk, Rafal's 59.4 rating represents a meaningful but not overwhelming advantage — this is not a foregone conclusion.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for KSW 120 Mixed Martial Arts fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, offensive and defensive output metrics, player and roster availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Haratyk, Rafal's 59.4 reflects an overall stronger statistical profile heading into this matchup. However, with Lesko, Bartosz at 40.6, the gap is narrow enough to make an upset entirely plausible.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for Haratyk, Rafal vs Lesko, Bartosz: Haratyk, Rafal to win is the percentage-backed selection at 59.4 and represents the straightforward model play. Lesko, Bartosz at 40.6 offers potential value as the underdog, particularly if the odds available overstate the gap between the two sides.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary

Match: Haratyk, Rafal vs Lesko, Bartosz

Sport: Mixed Martial Arts

Country: KSW

League: KSW 120

Favourite: Haratyk, Rafal (59.4)

Underdog: Lesko, Bartosz (40.6)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

186

1 1.56
2 2.28