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Gold Coast Suns vs St Kilda Saints

Gold Coast Suns Gold Coast Suns 1.42
VS
Sat, May 09
11:10 CET
St Kilda Saints St Kilda Saints 2.70
Win Probability implied from market odds
65.5%
Gold Coast Suns
1.42
34.5%
St Kilda Saints
2.70

Gold Coast Suns are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

St Kilda Saints (Away team) odds offer the highest possible win at 2.70 odds. If you bet $100 on St Kilda Saints you can win $$270.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Gold Coast Suns (Home team) is the safest option with odds at 1.42. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $142.00.

Betting Prediction

Gold Coast Suns vs St Kilda Saints Prediction & Betting Tips | AFL Australian Football

Gold Coast Suns vs St Kilda Saints – AFL Match Prediction

Australia | AFL | Australian Football

Ahead of this AFL fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for Gold Coast Suns vs St Kilda Saints.

Outcome: Gold Coast Suns Win | Probability: 65.5

Outcome: St Kilda Saints Win | Probability: 34.5

In this format there is no draw — one side will win.

Who Is Favoured between Gold Coast Suns vs St Kilda Saints?

Our model gives Gold Coast Suns the clear edge in this Australian Football matchup, with a 65.5 probability of victory. St Kilda Saints come in at 34.5 — a genuine chance, and one that reflects a competitive fixture even if the numbers favour their opponents.

With no draw possible in this format, the gap between these two sides is brought into sharper focus. Gold Coast Suns's 65.5 rating represents a meaningful but not overwhelming advantage — this is not a foregone conclusion.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for AFL Australian Football fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, offensive and defensive output metrics, player and roster availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Gold Coast Suns's 65.5 reflects an overall stronger statistical profile heading into this matchup. However, with St Kilda Saints at 34.5, the gap is narrow enough to make an upset entirely plausible.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for Gold Coast Suns vs St Kilda Saints: Gold Coast Suns to win is the percentage-backed selection at 65.5 and represents the straightforward model play. St Kilda Saints at 34.5 offers potential value as the underdog, particularly if the odds available overstate the gap between the two sides.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary

Match: Gold Coast Suns vs St Kilda Saints

Sport: Australian Football

Country: Australia

League: AFL

Favourite: Gold Coast Suns (65.5)

Underdog: St Kilda Saints (34.5)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

186

1 1.42
2 2.70